Miramar Misiones 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.32/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.09
+17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
20.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
04.05.2014 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 3-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
2-2
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 39% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 61%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Miramar Misiones had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Miramar Misiones 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 33%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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