Nacional de Football 5-2 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.4pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.8pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.8pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 8%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
2.36/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.98
+27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
24.10.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
18.06.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
18.03.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
31.07.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 2-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.02.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
5-2
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football swept aside Deportivo Maldonado 5-2. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 52%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.33 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Nacional de Football 5-2 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 63%, draw 21%, Deportivo Maldonado 16%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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