Colorado Springs 1-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +14%
1.68/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
+21% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.1 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
19.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-3 HT 2-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
08.10.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
18.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
04.06.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 3-0 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
10.04.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-0
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
0.64 xG 1.25
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
170 Passes 498
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs edged past Las Vegas Lights 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 29% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 71%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.64 to 1.25 — on chances, Las Vegas Lights could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?

Colorado Springs 1-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 51%, draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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