Colorado Springs 1-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
8%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 30% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.81
+31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.0 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
342 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-3 HT 2-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
08.10.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
18.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
04.06.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 3-0 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
10.04.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
29.09.2019 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-3 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-1
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
2.13 xG 0.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
270 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs and Las Vegas Lights shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 48% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 52%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.13 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.67 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?

Colorado Springs 1-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 43%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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