Hartford Athletic 0-0 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.67/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.65
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.2 Crosses 17.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.39 xG 1.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 398
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.05.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
29.05.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
0-0
AWAY Phoenix Rising
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic and Phoenix Rising fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 50% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 50%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.50 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Phoenix Rising?

Hartford Athletic 0-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 38%, draw 29%, Phoenix Rising 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ BTTS Yes
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