Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Nov 2025

Defensa y Justicia
0-2 HT 0-1
Independiente Rivadavia
📅17/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 35% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.3
X/2
9%
8.94
X/X
18%
4.28
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
11%
7.58
2/X
5%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Independiente Rivadavia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.45/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.24
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.2 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 1.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.05.2025 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 3-2 HT 1-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
17.09.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
09.03.2014 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN

Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0-2
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.48 xG 1.91
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
451 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia saw off Defensa y Justicia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 66% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 34%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.48 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 2.00 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 47%, draw 28%, Independiente Rivadavia 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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