Mostaganem 2-2 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
6.24
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.7pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 48%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.00/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
-100% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostaganem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
2-2
AWAY USM Alger
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem and USM Alger shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostaganem had 43% of the ball to USM Alger's 57%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs USM Alger?

Mostaganem 2-2 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 27%, draw 34%, USM Alger 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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