Almanya U20 5-0 İtalya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
4.47
2-3 Goals
33%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
7%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 25%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.73
+121% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya U20
4W-1D-1L
AWAY İtalya U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
09.09.2025 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 4-0 HT 3-0 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 U20EL
10.09.2024 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 0-3 HT 0-0 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 U20EL
09.11.2017 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 2-2 HT 2-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
10.11.2016 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 0-1 HT 0-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 HAZ
12.11.2015 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 0-2 HT 0-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
03.09.2015 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 0-2 HT 0-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 HAZ
POST-MATCH Almanya U20 vs İtalya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U20 swept aside İtalya U20 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almanya U20 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almanya U20 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Almanya U20 and 0.67 for İtalya U20.

What was the final score of Almanya U20 vs İtalya U20?

Almanya U20 5-0 İtalya U20 in the U20 Elit League on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya U20 vs İtalya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almanya U20 49%, draw 26%, İtalya U20 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U20), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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