Rochdale 3-0 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.75
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
9%
11.05
X/X
9%
5.25
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
9%
8.56
2/X
5%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.37/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.47
-29% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
3-0
AWAY Tamworth
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale swept aside Tamworth 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rochdale had 64% of the ball to Tamworth's 36%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Tamworth?

Rochdale 3-0 Tamworth in the England - National League on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 51%, draw 25%, Tamworth 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →