Airdrieonians 0-3 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 17 Dec 2024

Airdrieonians
0-3 HT 0-1
Livingston
📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Airdrieonians vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.59
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
8%
18.15
X/1
7%
11.45
X/2
21%
3.64
X/X
11%
5.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.99
2/X
5%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonians v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 64%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.56
-100% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
193 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Airdrieonians vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
8 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
21.08.2010 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston ran out comfortable winners over Airdrieonians 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Airdrieonians and 2.00 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Livingston?

Airdrieonians 0-3 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 22%, draw 24%, Livingston 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →