Livingston 2-1 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.21 — our 26% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.35
X/1
12%
3.63
X/2
6%
12.15
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.3
2/2
9%
9.6
2/X
6%
18.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.93/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.80
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
21.08.2010 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
2-1
AWAY Airdrieonians
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 8
8 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston nicked a narrow win over Airdrieonians 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Livingston had 47% of the ball to Airdrieonians's 53%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Airdrieonians?

Livingston 2-1 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Livingston 56%, draw 24%, Airdrieonians 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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