Blackpool 1-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.46
Over 2.5
60%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.09
2-3 Goals
34%
2.29
4-5 Goals
28%
2.27
6+ Goals
16%
3.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.67
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
18.0
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
7%
14.25
X/X
8%
9.28
2/1
10%
17.1
2/2
16%
8.72
2/X
5%
17.75
Value flag · 1/X at 18.0 — our 11% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
25%
+14.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
75%
-14.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.08
-33% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
16.9 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
0.74 xG 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
339 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool and Aston Villa U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackpool had 53% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.74 to 1.80.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?

Blackpool 1-1 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 50%, draw 24%, Aston Villa U21 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blackpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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