Peterborough United 3-0 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 17 Dec 2024

Peterborough United
3-0 HT 0-0
Northampton Town
📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
10%
7.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.65
2/2
10%
8.06
2/X
5%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.65 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.64
+42% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.4
16.3 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Peterborough United vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Northampton Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.78 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
05.03.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 5-1 HT 3-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
19.08.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.04.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-1 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
10.10.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
03.09.2019 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNTK

Peterborough United 3-0 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
3-0
AWAY Northampton Town
4.13 xG 0.23
74% Ball Possession 26%
31 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
556 Passes 153
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
61 Box Touches 3
29 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United ran out comfortable winners over Northampton Town 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough United had 74% of the ball to Northampton Town's 26%, shots finished 31-3, expected goals 4.13 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Peterborough United and 0.83 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Northampton Town?

Peterborough United 3-0 Northampton Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 56%, draw 22%, Northampton Town 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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