Granada 4-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.73
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.75
X/1
22%
3.47
X/2
4%
15.3
X/X
8%
5.94
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
6%
13.1
2/X
7%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
67%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.60/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.70
+27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
22.4 Crosses 13.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Cartagena
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.85 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
272 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2023 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
30.10.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
06.08.2018 Cartagena Cartagena 3-2 HT 1-0 Granada Granada HAZ
02.04.2011 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 2-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
06.11.2010 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 2-1 Granada Granada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
4-1
AWAY Cartagena
1.38 xG 0.29
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
522 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada swept aside Cartagena 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Granada had 63% of the ball to Cartagena's 37%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Granada and 1.20 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Granada vs Cartagena?

Granada 4-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Granada 66%, draw 20%, Cartagena 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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