Real Zaragoza 2-3 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.13
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.5
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
15%
4.38
X/2
11%
6.88
X/X
15%
3.56
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.9
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.5pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.37/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.23
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.4 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
303 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
06.11.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
07.05.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
09.10.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
16.05.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-3 HT 2-3 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
02.10.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-3
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.94 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
318 Passes 386
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo squeezed past Real Zaragoza 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 46% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 54%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.94 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Zaragoza.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Real Oviedo?

Real Zaragoza 2-3 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 41%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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