East Bengal 4-2 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 37% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.15/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.07
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
15.8 Crosses 13.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Punjab FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.65 xG 1.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
402 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 4-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
09.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
4-2
AWAY Punjab FC
0.71 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
221 Passes 315
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal beat Punjab FC 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day East Bengal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, East Bengal had 44% of the ball to Punjab FC's 56%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.71 to 1.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Punjab FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Punjab FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for East Bengal and 2.00 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Punjab FC?

East Bengal 4-2 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 32%, draw 31%, Punjab FC 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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