Dundee United 2-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 17 Dec 2025

Dundee United
2-1 HT 0-1
Celtic
📅17/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Dundee United vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
63%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.2
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
5%
11.8
X/2
18%
4.27
X/X
7%
6.61
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
36%
1.89
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.2 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
18%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
63%
Away Win
61%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
0.96/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.89
+39% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
13.1 Crosses 22.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Dundee United vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.37 xG 2.23
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
159 Passes 678
66% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 0-5 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
15.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
08.01.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
22.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
29.01.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 0-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.11.2022 Celtic Celtic 4-2 HT 2-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP

Dundee United 2-1 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-1
AWAY Celtic
1.45 xG 3.20
27% Ball Possession 73%
17 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
129 Passes 513
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past Celtic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dundee United had 27% of the ball to Celtic's 73%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.45 to 3.20 — on chances, Celtic could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dundee United and 2.67 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Celtic?

Dundee United 2-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 16%, draw 21%, Celtic 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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