Dundee United 0-5 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.69
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
6.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
12.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.9
1/X
7%
20.7
X/1
9%
16.25
X/2
16%
4.07
X/X
13%
7.96
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
29%
1.59
2/X
5%
18.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.9 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.6pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 72%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
0.90/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.77
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +16%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.4
15.7 Crosses 24.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.34 xG 2.65
24% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
154 Passes 674
64% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
08.01.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
22.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
29.01.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 0-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.11.2022 Celtic Celtic 4-2 HT 2-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
28.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-9 HT 0-4 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
0-5
AWAY Celtic
0.44 xG 3.06
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
149 Passes 650
61% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 49
12 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic swept aside Dundee United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundee United had 25% of the ball to Celtic's 75%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.44 to 3.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dundee United and 3.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Celtic?

Dundee United 0-5 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 21%, draw 25%, Celtic 54%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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