Hearts 0-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.96
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
16.2
X/1
12%
4.0
X/2
9%
11.25
X/X
7%
5.76
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
11%
9.33
2/X
6%
18.2
Value flag · 1/X at 16.2 — our 13% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.83/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.55
+8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 65%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
26.2 Crosses 16.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
01.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-6 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.12.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
11.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
03.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
0-1
AWAY Dundee FC
1.46 xG 0.71
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
510 Passes 125
83% Pass Accuracy 56%
24 Box Touches 25
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC edged past Hearts 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hearts had 73% of the ball to Dundee FC's 27%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.46 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hearts.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hearts and 1.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Hearts 0-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hearts 49%, draw 26%, Dundee FC 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5
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