Hearts 3-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 24% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/1.28
+47% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / +66%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.12 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 230
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-6 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.12.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
11.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
03.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
3-1
AWAY Dundee FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts beat Dundee FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hearts had 58% of the ball to Dundee FC's 42%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hearts and 1.17 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Hearts 3-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Cup on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hearts 52%, draw 24%, Dundee FC 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ BTTS No
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