Hearts 2-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
15%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
8%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.1
2/2
10%
7.76
2/X
7%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.70/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 68%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
26.2 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
415 Passes 210
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
11.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
03.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
09.02.2022 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-0
AWAY Dundee FC
1.75 xG 0.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 226
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts beat Dundee FC 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hearts had 57% of the ball to Dundee FC's 43%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.75 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hearts and 1.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Hearts 2-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hearts 54%, draw 22%, Dundee FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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