Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Dec 2024

Dundee United
1-1 HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Dundee United vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.42
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
9%
4.55
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.84
2/X
7%
14.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.42 — our 24% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.16/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.25
+27% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.0 Crosses 22.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dundee United vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
271 Passes 263
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-3 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.05.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 0-3 HT 0-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
11.02.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKK
01.02.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
09.11.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.10.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK

Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.37 xG 1.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
229 Passes 206
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 20
39 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dundee United had 54% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 46%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.37 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee United and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?

Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 48%, draw 26%, Kilmarnock 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundee United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
7 Dec 2024
18:00 Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone Analysis →
18:00 Celtic vs Hibernian Analysis →
18:00 Hearts vs Dundee FC Analysis →
18:00 St. Mirren vs Motherwell Analysis →