Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kilmarnock v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 3-3 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock and Dundee United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Dundee United saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.14 to 2.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Kilmarnock against 1.00 for Dundee United.
Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Result & Final Score
Kilmarnock 3 - 3 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 46%, draw 28%, Dundee United 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.