Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Kilmarnock
İKP
0-1
HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
İKK
1-0
HT 1-0
Dundee United
İKP
4-0
HT 3-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-1
HT 1-1
Dundee United
İKLK
1-1
HT 0-1
Dundee United
İKP
Kilmarnock 3-3 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock and Dundee United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 48% of the ball to Dundee United's 52%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.14 to 2.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for Dundee United.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Kilmarnock 3-3 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 27%, Dundee United 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.