Hearts 1-1 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Sep 2024

Hearts
1-1 HT 0-1
Ross County
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hearts vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
12%
3.73
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
6%
8.45
2/X
7%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Ross County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.06/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.9 Crosses 17.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Hearts vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ross County
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 1.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
30.12.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-2 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
30.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.04.2023 Hearts Hearts 6-1 HT 4-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
30.10.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 1-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
30.07.2022 Hearts Hearts 2-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP

Hearts 1-1 Ross County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-1
AWAY Ross County
1.94 xG 0.84
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
486 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
48 Box Touches 23
42 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Ross County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hearts had 70% of the ball to Ross County's 30%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.94 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hearts and 1.17 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Ross County?

Hearts 1-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hearts 54%, draw 25%, Ross County 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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