Motherwell vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Motherwell v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 2-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell came out on the right side of a one-goal game with St. Mirren 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
On the day, St. Mirren saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 2.07 to 2.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Motherwell against 0.83 for St. Mirren.
Motherwell vs St. Mirren Result & Final Score
Motherwell 2 - 1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Motherwell vs St. Mirren Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 46%, draw 28%, St. Mirren 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.