St. Mirren 0-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.23
6+ Goals
12%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.11
X/2
8%
8.26
X/X
14%
4.39
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
6.73
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.20/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
-19% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 66%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
25.8 Crosses 20.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 246
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
30.03.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
16.12.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
16.09.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
19.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKLK
15.02.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-1
AWAY Motherwell
0.55 xG 1.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
194 Passes 149
61% Pass Accuracy 52%
21 Box Touches 17
37 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past St. Mirren 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 54% of the ball to Motherwell's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Mirren and 0.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Motherwell?

St. Mirren 0-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 43%, draw 27%, Motherwell 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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