Aberdeen 1-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.95
X/1
14%
3.84
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
9%
5.56
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
13%
8.25
2/X
7%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.62/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.6 Crosses 17.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.75 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
310 Passes 196
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.05.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
28.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
24.01.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
08.10.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
01.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.70 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
427 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and St. Johnstone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 57% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 43%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.70 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberdeen and 0.67 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone?

Aberdeen 1-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 48%, draw 25%, St. Johnstone 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
7 Dec 2024
18:00 Dundee United vs Kilmarnock Analysis →
18:00 Celtic vs Hibernian Analysis →
18:00 Hearts vs Dundee FC Analysis →
18:00 St. Mirren vs Motherwell Analysis →