Aberdeen 1-0 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.44
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
10%
5.42
X/2
16%
6.22
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.27
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.60/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.12
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
25.6 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.20 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
21.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-3 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-0
AWAY Hibernian
0.83 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 5
414 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen nicked a narrow win over Hibernian 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Aberdeen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 56% of the ball to Hibernian's 44%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.83 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aberdeen and 2.00 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Aberdeen 1-0 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 34%, draw 29%, Hibernian 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernian), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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