Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
22%
4.37
X/2
11%
8.85
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.4
2/2
8%
6.94
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -26%
1.48/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.70
-14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 66%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
27.3 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.58 xG 2.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-3 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
1.60 xG 0.48
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
265 Passes 467
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 36
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian beat Aberdeen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hibernian had 37% of the ball to Aberdeen's 63%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hibernian and 1.83 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 51%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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