St. Mirren 0-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
12%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.25
X/2
10%
8.35
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
11%
7.02
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.14/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
-24% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
271 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 63%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
26.5 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Johnstone
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
209 Passes 339
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
30.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
24.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
06.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
25.02.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.38 xG 0.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
198 Passes 374
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone nicked a narrow win over St. Mirren 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Mirren had 41% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 59%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.38 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St. Mirren and 0.83 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone?

St. Mirren 0-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 45%, draw 28%, St. Johnstone 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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