St. Johnstone 2-3 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 14 Dec 2024

St. Johnstone
2-3 HT 0-1
St. Mirren
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
11%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.05
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
12%
5.51
X/2
17%
5.27
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1
10%
33.5
2/2
9%
3.81
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
0.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.19
-22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
243 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 69%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.1 Crosses 25.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 214
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
24.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
06.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
25.02.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
09.11.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP

St. Johnstone 2-3 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
2-3
AWAY St. Mirren
0.79 xG 2.08
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
427 Passes 186
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
9 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren edged past St. Johnstone 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day St. Mirren made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 65% of the ball to St. Mirren's 35%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.79 to 2.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Mirren's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 2.00 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren?

St. Johnstone 2-3 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 35%, draw 29%, St. Mirren 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ Under 2.5
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