Motherwell 4-3 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.63
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
11%
5.29
X/2
8%
5.69
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
22%
4.03
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.28
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.3 Crosses 22.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundee United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
20.09.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
28.05.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-2 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
15.04.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.09.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
4-3
AWAY Dundee United
2.09 xG 2.02
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
163 Passes 374
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past Dundee United 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Motherwell made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 35% of the ball to Dundee United's 65%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.09 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Motherwell and 1.00 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Motherwell 4-3 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 38%, draw 26%, Dundee United 37%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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