Dundee United 1-2 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.6
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
10%
7.67
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
17%
5.75
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.81/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
+32% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.4 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 276
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
28.05.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-2 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
15.04.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.09.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
30.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-2
AWAY Motherwell
1.39 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
326 Passes 221
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past Dundee United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Motherwell made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundee United had 58% of the ball to Motherwell's 42%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.39 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee United and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Dundee United 1-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 38%, draw 26%, Motherwell 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5
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