Aberdeen 2-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Oct 2024

Aberdeen
2-1 HT 1-0
Rangers
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Aberdeen vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.6
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
6%
7.7
X/2
14%
4.46
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.6
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.19/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.58
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
20.0 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Aberdeen vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 2.07
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
139 Passes 478
58% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.12.2023 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
26.11.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
30.09.2023 Rangers Rangers 1-3 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
07.05.2023 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
23.04.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP

Aberdeen 2-1 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
2-1
AWAY Rangers
2.72 xG 1.92
37% Ball Possession 63%
20 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
167 Passes 354
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen squeezed past Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 37% of the ball to Rangers's 63%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.72 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 1.00 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Aberdeen 2-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 32%, draw 25%, Rangers 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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