St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Mirren v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 3-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren got the better of St. Johnstone 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, St. Mirren had 31% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 69%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.93 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.17 for St. Johnstone.
St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score
St. Mirren 3 - 1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 48%, draw 28%, St. Johnstone 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.