Hearts vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 1-2 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock squeezed past Hearts 2-1 on the road. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
File this under upsets: a 55% lean on Hearts went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: Hearts had 69% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 31%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.11 to 1.73.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hearts and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Hearts 1 - 2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hearts 55%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.