Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Kilmarnock
İKP
0-1
HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
İKK
1-0
HT 1-0
Dundee United
İKP
4-0
HT 3-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock nicked a narrow win over Dundee United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 41% of the ball to Dundee United's 59%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.39 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Dundee United.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 41%, draw 27%, Dundee United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.