Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Dec 2024

Aberdeen
1-3 HT 1-2
Hibernian
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Aberdeen vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.73
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
10%
7.43
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
15%
5.3
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.58/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.6 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Aberdeen vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.36 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-3 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
03.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-2 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP

Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-3
AWAY Hibernian
1.90 xG 1.44
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
326 Passes 139
74% Pass Accuracy 57%
33 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian beat Aberdeen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 64% of the ball to Hibernian's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.90 to 1.44 — on chances, Aberdeen could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aberdeen and 1.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 43%, draw 26%, Hibernian 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aberdeen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5
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