Ross County 1-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
11%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.22
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
13%
5.8
X/2
15%
5.32
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.73
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.16
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.2 Crosses 25.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
236 Passes 229
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
27.02.2024 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
09.12.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.11.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
18.02.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.11.2022 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
POST-MATCH Ross County vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren nicked a narrow win over Ross County 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day St. Mirren made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ross County and 1.00 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Ross County vs St. Mirren?

Ross County 1-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ross County 38%, draw 29%, St. Mirren 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Under 2.5
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