St. Mirren 2-2 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
15%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.1
1/2
7%
21.8
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
10%
8.3
X/2
14%
4.53
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.43
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.8pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
0.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.86
-11% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 85%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
21.4 Crosses 22.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.53
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
148 Passes 474
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Rangers Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
26.12.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.10.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.04.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
03.12.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
2-2
AWAY Rangers
1.90 xG 1.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
202 Passes 341
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren and Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, St. Mirren had 42% of the ball to Rangers's 58%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.90 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Rangers.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Rangers?

St. Mirren 2-2 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 29%, draw 27%, Rangers 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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