St. Mirren 2-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
49%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
13.9
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
9%
22.1
X/1
11%
17.15
X/2
17%
3.45
X/X
10%
7.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.61
2/X
5%
21.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+15.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.5pp
49%
Away Win
71%
-21.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 75%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.47/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.68
-42% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
229 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
15.5 Crosses 23.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rangers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.39 xG 1.84
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
167 Passes 500
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.04.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
03.12.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.05.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
2-1
AWAY Rangers
1.07 xG 1.52
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
97 Passes 519
50% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren edged past Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 25% of the ball to Rangers's 75%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 1.07 to 1.52 — on chances, Rangers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St. Mirren and 2.17 for Rangers.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Rangers?

St. Mirren 2-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 26%, draw 25%, Rangers 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ BTTS No
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