Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Aberdeen
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
Kilmarnock 4-0 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock swept aside Aberdeen 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 47% of the ball to Aberdeen's 53%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 4.02 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.17 for Aberdeen.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock 4-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 34%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 41%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.