St. Johnstone 1-2 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Dec 2024

St. Johnstone
1-2 HT 1-0
Dundee United
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

St. Johnstone vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.46
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
14%
5.97
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
13%
4.13
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.5
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.93/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.43
-16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 67%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
19.8 Crosses 21.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

St. Johnstone vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 0.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
194 Passes 323
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
06.05.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.02.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.01.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
01.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.02.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP

St. Johnstone 1-2 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-2
AWAY Dundee United
0.58 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
362 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past St. Johnstone 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Dundee United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 51% of the ball to Dundee United's 49%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.58 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.83 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Dundee United?

St. Johnstone 1-2 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 33%, draw 28%, Dundee United 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5
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