Dundee FC 0-3 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
13%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.17
X/2
8%
8.81
X/X
9%
4.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.7
2/2
14%
6.82
2/X
9%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.57/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 65%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.5 Crosses 16.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ross County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
239 Passes 215
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
17.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
16.12.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
24.10.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
11.12.2021 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
0-3
AWAY Ross County
0.30 xG 2.03
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
427 Passes 177
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 32
32 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County ran out comfortable winners over Dundee FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundee FC had 65% of the ball to Ross County's 35%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.30 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee FC and 1.17 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Ross County?

Dundee FC 0-3 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 49%, draw 25%, Ross County 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundee FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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