Celtic 4-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.72
2-3 Goals
37%
2.29
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
15%
4.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
33.0
X/1
20%
3.59
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
6%
12.45
2/1
9%
22.1
2/2
4%
24.7
2/X
7%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.3pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
2.81/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.51
+15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +21%
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
537 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 64%
44.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
28.4 Crosses 12.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Motherwell
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.12 xG 0.66
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
613 Passes 136
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
42 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-3 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.09.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
22.04.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.11.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
4-0
AWAY Motherwell
3.51 xG 0.23
84% Ball Possession 16%
23 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
812 Passes 84
93% Pass Accuracy 52%
57 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic swept aside Motherwell 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Celtic had 84% of the ball to Motherwell's 16%, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 3.51 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celtic and 0.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Motherwell?

Celtic 4-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Celtic 70%, draw 17%, Motherwell 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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