Hearts vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 1-2 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics
Hibernian shaded a tight game against Hearts 2-1 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Hearts had 67% of the ball to Hibernian's 33%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.70 to 1.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hibernian's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hearts and 1.00 for Hibernian.
Hearts vs Hibernian Result & Final Score
Hearts 1 - 2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs Hibernian Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hearts 45%, draw 28%, Hibernian 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.