Hibernian 1-1 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Oct 2024

Hibernian
1-1 HT 0-0
Hearts
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.21
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
14%
6.33
X/X
9%
4.39
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.52
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hibernian v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.36
+13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.1 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hibernian vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hearts
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
233 Passes 252
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.10.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.05.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
15.04.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKK

Hibernian 1-1 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-1
AWAY Hearts
1.95 xG 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
203 Passes 423
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Hearts shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hibernian had 36% of the ball to Hearts's 64%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.95 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hibernian and 1.33 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Hearts?

Hibernian 1-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 40%, draw 23%, Hearts 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernian), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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