Rangers 2-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Oct 2024

Rangers
2-1 HT 1-1
St. Mirren
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Rangers vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.28
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
16%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.45
X/1
22%
3.43
X/2
5%
18.15
X/X
11%
7.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
2/2
6%
14.6
2/X
6%
22.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rangers v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.57/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.03
+13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
40.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
28.7 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rangers vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
6W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Mirren
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.12 xG 0.33
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
530 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.04.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
03.12.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.05.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
15.04.2023 Rangers Rangers 5-2 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP

Rangers 2-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
2-1
AWAY St. Mirren
2.25 xG 0.63
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
508 Passes 111
84% Pass Accuracy 54%
30 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rangers vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past St. Mirren 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rangers had 74% of the ball to St. Mirren's 26%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.25 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rangers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rangers and 0.50 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Rangers vs St. Mirren?

Rangers 2-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rangers 63%, draw 22%, St. Mirren 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
27 Oct 2024
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