Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
17%
5.18
X/2
11%
5.93
X/X
14%
4.02
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.3
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
1.40/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.61
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 71%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
24.0 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
190 Passes 274
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
29.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
08.04.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
28.12.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
01.10.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 3-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.02.2021 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
1.93 xG 0.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
172 Passes 139
58% Pass Accuracy 50%
34 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock got the better of Aberdeen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 52% of the ball to Aberdeen's 48%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.93 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 30%, Aberdeen 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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