Ross County 3-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Feb 2024

Ross County
3-2 HT 2-0
Livingston
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Ross County vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
16%
5.88
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
10%
4.4
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
0.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.99
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 66%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.6 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ross County vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Livingston
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
191 Passes 225
58% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
16.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
06.05.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
18.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
07.01.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
08.10.2022 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP

Ross County 3-2 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
3-2
AWAY Livingston
1.06 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
223 Passes 191
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County nicked a narrow win over Livingston 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Ross County made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ross County had 52% of the ball to Livingston's 48%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.06 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ross County and 1.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Livingston?

Ross County 3-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ross County 36%, draw 31%, Livingston 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ross County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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